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Several years ago, I revisited and revamped the work of one of my early handicapping heroes, William L. Scott. And the results were… well, awful. However, I still believe that Scott’s seminal work, Investing at the Racetrack, is worth studying. In fact, in today’s column, I will show you how the application of one of Scott’s basic principles coupled with my pace figures — or any pace figures, really — can produce stellar results. But, first, some background: In the winter of 1996, I quit my job as a bank teller to become a professional gambler. I had $674 to
Newcomers to thoroughbred horse racing are often overwhelmed by the vast amounts of information thrown at them like an Aroldis Chapman fastball. Class, weight, lengths, prices — and that’s just buying a hot dog at the concession stand. There’s also speed and pace figures, past performances, blinkers on, blinkers off… you get the picture. So, today, I thought I would help newbies (and maybe even a few seasoned racegoers) handle that Chapman heater by discussing one of the most basic, yet most confusing aspects of thoroughbred racing — the races themselves. MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT RACES These are races for horses
Yes, the winter racing season is here — and the best winter race meet is ready to roll at Gulfstream Park, with the 2018-19 Gulfstream Champions meet opening on Saturday, Dec. 1 and continuing until March 31. As always, Gulfstream will feature the best trainers, jockeys, grass horses and stakes races in action at this time of year, making it a must-bet track for all serious horseplayers and handicappers for the next several months. The Gulfstream Park winter meet began with the Claiming Crown on opening day, continues with the Sunshine Millions on Jan. 19 and includes several key three-year-old
So far, I have talked about some telling features of a horse — the eyes, the ears and sweating. The other end of the horse can also clue you in to its mood. Often you will not get a good look at the horse’s eyes, but you are generally guaranteed to get a view of the horse from the side or walking away from you in both the paddock and post parade. So like the Zac Brown Band sings (with the help of Alan Jackson), “Don’t be falling in love as she’s walking away.” Tail Swishing Violently I’m not
Below are FREE handicapping reports for Fair Grounds and Gulfstream Park on Saturday, Dec. 8, 2018: WIN FACTOR REPORT Uses criteria such as speed, form, class and fitness to assess the fair odds of the top four win contenders in each race. Saturday Coming soon. PACE PROFILE REPORT My personal favorite, this report features par speed figures along with my unique speed rations and a bunch of other interesting stuff. Saturday Coming soon. RACE REPORT CARD Grades (A-F) each entrant in four key categories: speed, class, jockey and trainer. Saturday Coming soon. WORKOUT REPORT Features a numerical assessment (0-100 percent) —
Recently, Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas, who has won practically every big race imaginable, including the Kentucky Derby four times, weighed in on the future of horse racing. While I agreed with the majority of what he said, one of his statements left me flabbergasted, flummoxed and frustrated. “Gambling does not drive the industry,” Lukas told Thoroughbred Racing Commentary. “The purse structure, although it’s gotten better in this country, if we just had to depend on that, I think the industry would greatly suffer.” Gambling does not drive the industry? Say what? Look, I’ll grant you that Lukas